Another instant hit from the artist who gave us “Friday”. 4,059,312 views in 24 hours. Culture.
If you don’t want to pedal your bicycle, you can row it.
Source: Bicycle Interests
Or maybe it was a New Jersey Transit train. Couldn’t tell.
[UPDATE December 04, 2013] The morning after: Recap.
Mixed bag last night. My algorithm correctly predicted that James Wolpert would be saved by the viewers, but totally missed the Cole Vosbury call (for the second time, I must add). For next week I have recruited a “human sensor”, whose input will factor in in the updated algorithm. Stay tuned.
[UPDATE December 03, 2013] Updated the predictive algorithm.
Introducing The A.T. Rank for The Voice
My original hypothesis that Twitter following alone can predict winners and losers on NBC’s “The Voice” was proven wrong last week. So I set out to devise a more comprehensive, more sophisticated (and, hopefully, more accurate) predictive algorithm. The new algorithm combines the number of artists’ Twitter followers with other variables, and returns an “A.T. Rank” for each artist. Below is the A.T. Rank chart for today, December 03, 2013. According to the algorithm, Cole Vosbury will be eliminated tonight. James Wolpert will get to sing another week thanks to the Twitter “instant save”.
[UPDATE November 27, 2013] Yesterday’s eliminations showed without a doubt that Twitter following ALONE can’t be used as a predictor of success or elimination on The Voice. Not surprising. But I am not giving up on this prediction game.
Last week I felt in my gut that Ray and Caroline didn’t have “it”, whatever that means. Of course, this is easy to say now. But I will say that I ignored my “gut” and trusted “the numbers”, and this was a mistake.
If anything, yesterday’s results encouraged me to trust my gut more. So I cooked up a secret formula involving Twitter numbers and several “gut” ingredients, and tweaked it until it roughly produced yesterday’s output. According to the new algorithm, today’s A.T. Rank of The Voice artists is as follows:
- Jacquie Lee
- James Wolpert
- Tessanne Chin
- Cole Vosbury
- Will Champlin
- Matthew Schuler
Come back for an update next Tuesday, December 3, 2013.
[UPDATE November 26, 2013] Jersey girl Caroline Pennell surges in the Twitter followers popularity race. She is many kilotweets behind leader Tessanne Chin, but we know how well being on top of the leader board worked for Angie Miller on American Idol.
Below is a snapshot of the number of Twitter followers for the top eight artists, taken around 2:30 p.m. EST today. We see that while Jacquie Lee has a minuscule advantage in total numbers, Caroline has the momentum, having increased her total number of followers by over 50% since last week.
I predict that Cole Vosbury will be eliminated tonight. Then it’s a toss-up between James Wolpert and Ray Boudreaux for the second elimination.
Does Twitter popularity equal TV show popularity?
I posed the same question during American Idol Season 12 earlier this year. I hypothesized that Twitter popularity does indeed equal TV popularity, and went on to predict that Angie Miller would win American Idol in a landslide.
I was wrong. Many (conspiracy and other) theories exist about what happened and why it happened. I may revisit these theories again in a few weeks. For now I’ll just chalk up my erroneous American Idol prediction to my sample size of one TV show being too small to draw a meaningful conclusion about Twitter/TV popularity correlation.
So now I set out to conduct a similar analysis for NBC’s The Voice and its remaining ten contestants. Tonight’s show will announce the elimination of two contestants. According to this Twitter followers chart (below) Austin Jenckes, Cole Vosbury, and Kat Robichaud will be in the bottom three. Kat Robichaud will be saved by Twitter vote. Austin and Cole will go home.
Let’s see what happens.
As the Daylight Saving Time change disturbs my circadian rhythms once again – arbitrarily and for no good reason – I set out to ponder, with a foggy mind, why so many things around us don’t make sense.
Daylight Saving Time is just one of myriad examples of absurd and idiotic constructs that permeate today’s society. You can come up with many more on your own. So, is there some sinister force behind each of these nonsensical phenomena, causing adverse societal consequences for its own benefit, or is it just random stupidity colliding with other random stupidity to create unpredictable and inexplicable results?
I hope it is the stupidity.
After a longer-than-anticipated hiatus I am back to working on my book My American Lemonade. Expect new content and some structural changes soon. Sign up for the email list to be notified about updates, or subscribe to the RSS feed (both options are accessible from the left column). Or simply bookmark the website and visit periodically.
I am still looking for an agent and/or publisher, and will be much obliged to whomever helps me make the right connection.
As of late I have been seeing a new type of TV commercial that I don’t remember seeing before. In it a “clever” character wins an invented 30-second situation. Or, as I see it, a dishonest character betrays someone’s trust and gets rewarded for it.
In one commercial a wife pretends to have cooked the canned soup she bought. In another a friend uses her friends to earn credit card points. But the most appalling is the KFC Go Cup commercial (embedded below) where a police officer makes his partner respond to a 10-31 (crime in progress) dispatch call so he can steal his partner’s KFC snack. Appalling? Apparently not to the advertisers and their customers.
Why are there so many of these commercials? Why are they so popular? They must work, or else they wouldn’t be airing. But why do they work? Is it because they are “funny”? Or is it because they appeal to the cheater rooted deeply in the majority of the advertiser’s target demographic? Do these commercials and their apparent success reveal something deeper about the American psyche?
I found an interesting analysis of the KFC commercial on the Commercial Analysis blog.
Ever been trapped in a never-ending argument with a contrarian? Say “fokay” to exit painlessly yet uncompromisingly.
Fokay (abbreviated to fOK) is a new word I invented. It is short for “fake OK”. Use it when you want to quit arguing with someone without agreeing with them.
Picture a hypothetical argument between two parties where one side wants to keep arguing and the other (you) wants to quit. You are facing a contrarian, and they will keep going until you agree with them. You are tired. You want to quit the argument by saying OK and pretending to agree, but that would be a lie. Using “fokay”, you can leave the argument without deceiving the other party about agreeing with them.
I spotted this beauty during a recent bike ride in a local New Jersey park. The Austin-Healey Sprite (aka Bugeye) was introduced by the British Motor Corporation (BMC) in 1958. This car is my contemporary, give or take a few years. Wow.